Notes
Bills @ Rams MNF Showdown: Buffalo's Banged Up, SoFi's Set Up for a Shootout
Tyler Redshaw
Two of the last two MVPs, a 54.5 total, and a Bills injury report that's doing a lot of talking. In tonight's Week 5 MNF Showdown (Bills @ Rams, 8:15 PM ET), our dfs-stack.ai game environment has LA implied for 28.75 and Buffalo for 25.75 with the Rams laying 3. Here's every news item that matters for your DK Showdown builds.
Bills injury designations land
Joe Brady laid out Buffalo's injury designations, and they hit both the receiver room and the defense. A thinner Bills interior and secondary sets up the Rams' core nicely. Kyren is $9,800, Puka $11,400 and Adams $9,400.
Bills interior run defense is short-handed. Bell-cow touches in a favorable script.
Mean 20.8 · p90 32.0 · Snap 68%
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DJ Moore: the one real question mark
Adam Schefter called Moore the one injury question in this game. Moore is $7,600. If he can't go, his targets go to Shakir ($7,000), Coleman ($5,600) and Kincaid. Check inactives about 90 minutes before kickoff.
shoulder. Moore (shoulder) is listed as inactive Monday at the Rams.
Shoulder watch. Confirm before lock.
Mean 7.4 · p90 14.5 · Snap 53%
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Skyler Bell's NFL debut
Brady confirmed rookie Skyler Bell makes his NFL debut tonight. He isn't on our priced board yet, so treat him as a pure dart throw. The more reliable way to play a thin Bills receiver room is Kincaid at $6,600.
Our favorite mid-range value with the Bills receiver room thinned out.
Mean 11.1 · p90 20.8 · Snap 66%
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What Bell looks like on tape
Here's some film of the rookie. Buffalo's offense still runs through Josh Allen ($11,800), with James Cook carrying a run-heavy attack.
Lead runner in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses.
Mean 15.4 · p90 25.1 · Snap 68%
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Rams nearly at full strength
LA comes in almost fully healthy, with no skill-position players on the report. The Stafford–Puka–Kyren core is fully intact. Parkinson at $2,400 is a cheap tight end to pair with it.
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Quentin Lake trending the right way
Sean McVay says Lake is on the positive side. If the Rams' slot/safety plays, Shakir's underneath matchup gets harder. That's one more reason we lean toward the Rams' pass-catchers over Buffalo's.
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Aaron Donald looks sharp
Donald was flying around at Friday practice. A healthy Rams pass rush is why we like the LA DST ($4,200) over Buffalo's ($3,400), even in a 54.5-total game.
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Storyline: can Buffalo hang 40?
Buffalo is coming off a loss, and some folks think they'll come out swinging. Our game environment backs a shootout: the Rams play at a faster pace, and both teams are implied for 25+. Allen-plus-Rams-stack builds look strong if this turns into a back-and-forth game.
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Betting line: Rams favored, total at 54.5
The line has moved between 3 and 3.5 across the market. Being home favorites puts the Rams in a positive game script. Matthew Stafford is a bargain at $9,000 and shows up in 74.5% of our optimal lineups.
Salary-efficient QB and the core of our optimal builds.
Mean 22.0 · p90 33.1 · Snap 96%
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DFS Takeaways
- Stafford at $9,000 is the core. He shows up in 74.5% of our optimal lineups, and his salary leaves room for Allen and Puka.
- Captain options: Allen, Puka, and Kyren against a short-handed Bills front.
- Value: Kincaid at $6,600, plus Parkinson ($2,400) and Corum ($3,800) to fill out builds.
- Moore pivot: if he's inactive, move his salary to Shakir or Coleman.
- Kickers: in a high-total game, Mevis and Bass are solid salary-savers.
Data: dfs-stack.ai. Check final inactives before lock.
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