Notes
NFL Week 7 Game by Game: Snap Share, Pass Rates and Injury News
Tyler Redshaw
Here is a game-by-game look at all 10 games on the Week 7 DraftKings Sunday main slate: who is on the field the most, which offenses like to throw, and the injury news that matters. Each game ends with a watch list that shows live injury status, projections and snap share, so it stays current as inactives come in.
A quick word on pass rate over expectation (PROE). It compares how often a team actually throws with how often an average team would throw in the same game situations. A positive number means the offense passes more than expected. A negative number means it leans on the run. For a defense, PROE shows how much more or less opponents throw against it.
All PROE numbers below cover the season through Week 6 and only count neutral game scripts, when the game is still competitive. Sacks and scrambles count as passes. Season snap share covers Weeks 1-6. You can compare every team on the team tendencies page.
49ers at Falcons
San Francisco is short-handed. Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel and Nick Bosa are all out, and Christian Kirk (calf) is questionable. Atlanta ruled out Brian Robinson Jr.
- Christian McCaffrey played 85% of the 49ers' snaps in Week 6, up from 72% for the season.
- Bijan Robinson has 72% of Atlanta's rushes, and Brian Robinson Jr. is out this week.
- Atlanta leans hard on the run at -9.2 PROE. San Francisco is at +4.2.
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McCaffrey is dealing with a mild hamstring strain rather than a quadriceps injury, and the 49ers believe he'll be ready following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SF Standard reports.
Played 85% of snaps in Week 6, up from 72% on the season.
Mean 15.4 · p90 24.9 · Snap 72%
Handles 72% of Atlanta's rushes in an offense at -9.2 PROE.
Mean 27.7 · p90 40.8 · Snap 70%
Bengals at Ravens
Lamar Jackson (high ankle sprain) is questionable after three straight limited practices. Asked whether he will play, he said, "I can't call it." This is a true game-time call.
- Cincinnati's +7.6 PROE is the highest of any offense on the slate.
- Ja'Marr Chase has played 78% of snaps this season and owns a 23.5% target share.
Baltimore's outlook depends heavily on Jackson, so check the projections board again once inactives are out.
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23.5% target share and 78% of snaps for the most pass-heavy offense on the slate.
Mean 16.8 · p90 28.2 · Snap 78%
Buccaneers at Panthers
This is the slate's biggest pass lean. Carolina is at +6.1 PROE, and Tampa Bay's defense allows +1.6.
Baker Mayfield (thumb) is ready to go, per Todd Bowles. Wide receiver Emeka Egbuka was ruled out on the official report.
- Tetairoa McMillan has played 84% of Carolina's snaps this season.
- Chuba Hubbard played 94% of snaps in Week 6.
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Tampa Bay's starter per Todd Bowles, in the slate's biggest pass-lean game.
Mean 15.7 · p90 24.5 · Snap 98%
Tampa Bay running back in the slate's biggest pass-lean game.
Mean 13.6 · p90 22.6 · Snap 65%
Runs a Carolina offense at +6.1 PROE against a defense that allows +1.6.
Mean 18.5 · p90 28.6 · Snap 97%
84% of snaps this season in Carolina's pass-leaning offense.
Mean 14.5 · p90 26.2 · Snap 84%
Giants at Texans
Houston is without David Montgomery again. Tank Dell is questionable, but DeMeco Ryans says he is on track for his season debut.
- Woody Marks played 78% of snaps in Week 6, up from 57% for the season.
- The Giants lean run at -7.2 PROE. Houston's defense allows +3.4, so opponents tend to throw more than expected against it.
- Malik Nabers has a 26% target share.
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Played 78% of snaps in Week 6, up from 57% on the season.
Mean 19.3 · p90 30.3 · Snap 57%
Houston's quarterback against a Giants offense that leans run (-7.2 PROE).
Mean 19.2 · p90 29.6 · Snap 100%
26% target share. Houston's defense allows +3.4 PROE.
Mean 14.7 · p90 26.0 · Snap 76%
Colts at Vikings
Indianapolis ruled out tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and cornerback Sauce Gardner. For Minnesota, Jordan Mason is questionable after practicing fully all week.
- Minnesota's defense allows -9.8 PROE, which means opponents run more than expected against it. No defense on the slate pushes teams toward the run more.
- Jonathan Taylor has played 82% of snaps this season.
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82% of snaps this season, facing the defense that pushes opponents toward the run more than any other on the slate.
Mean 15.2 · p90 25.0 · Snap 82%
Minnesota wide receiver at home against Indianapolis.
Mean 11.2 · p90 20.8 · Snap 73%
Dolphins at Jets
Breece Hall (quad) is questionable. He hasn't played since Week 3.
- Braelon Allen played 87% of snaps in Week 6 with Hall sidelined.
- Garrett Wilson has played 91% of snaps this season.
- Both offenses lean run: Miami is at -8.6 PROE and the Jets are at -2.6.
91% of snaps this season in a game where both offenses lean run.
Mean 9.9 · p90 18.3 · Snap 91%
Browns at Titans
Tennessee's -10.3 PROE is the lowest of any offense on the slate, so expect the Titans to lean on the run.
Calvin Ridley (hip) is questionable after missing Friday's practice. Tyjae Spears is questionable too.
- Tony Pollard played 76% of snaps in Week 6.
- Deshaun Watson has been on the field for virtually every Cleveland snap this season.
Played 76% of snaps in Week 6 for the most run-heavy offense on the slate.
Mean 8.1 · p90 14.9 · Snap 56%
Has played virtually every Cleveland snap this season.
Mean 14.6 · p90 23.0 · Snap 100%
Broncos at Cardinals
Jeremiyah Love (ankle) is out for Arizona. In Week 6 the backfield was split: Tyler Allgeier played 56% of snaps, and Bam Knight jumped to 44% after playing 16% for the season.
- Trey McBride has played 90% of snaps this season with a 23% target share.
- Both defenses push teams toward the run: Denver's allows -4.4 PROE and Arizona's -4.9.
- Denver cornerback Patrick Surtain is questionable.
Jumped to 44% of snaps in Week 6, up from 16% on the season.
Mean 9.4 · p90 16.2 · Snap 16%
Packers at Lions
This game has the highest total on the slate. Green Bay is without Micah Parsons (knee). Josh Jacobs is on track for his season debut, per Matt LaFleur.
- Detroit's defense allows +5.2 PROE, the most of any defense on the slate. Teams throw more than expected against the Lions.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has played 77% of snaps this season.
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Faces the defense that allows the most pass rate over expectation on the slate (+5.2).
Mean 19.0 · p90 29.3 · Snap 100%
77% of snaps this season in the slate's highest-total game.
Mean 29.8 · p90 43.9 · Snap 77%
Lions head coach Dan Campbell said that St. Brown tweaked his ankle during Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers but should be ready to practice Thursday, Richard Silva of The Detroit News reports.
Detroit wide receiver in the slate's highest-total game.
Mean 17.8 · p90 29.7 · Snap 88%
Rams at Raiders
Puka Nacua (calf) is questionable after sitting out Friday's practice. Davante Adams is on IR.
- Nacua owns a 37.5% target share.
- The Rams are at +3.9 PROE. The Raiders defense is at -5.7, so opponents run more than expected against it.
- Brock Bowers played 98% of snaps in Week 6.
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Owns a 37.5% target share. Check his status before lock.
Mean 30.0 · p90 44.6 · Snap 84%
Rams running back. The Rams are at +3.9 PROE against a Raiders defense at -5.7.
Mean 18.7 · p90 29.4 · Snap 70%
Statuses can change right up to kickoff. The watch lists above update live, and every Week 7 number is on the projections board. For pass and run rates team by team, see team tendencies.
See every Week 7 projection, snap share and matchup in one place.
Week 7 NFL projections