Notes

NFL Week 8 First Look: Every Game on the DraftKings Main Slate

Tyler Redshaw

Here is a first look at all 11 games on the Week 8 DraftKings Sunday main slate: where the points should be, which offenses like to throw, who is on the field the most, and the injury news to track this week. Each game ends with a watch list that shows live injury status, projections and snap share, so it stays current as practice reports and inactives come in.

A quick word on pass rate over expectation (PROE). It compares how often a team actually throws with how often an average team would throw in the same game situations. A positive number means the offense passes more than expected. A negative number means it leans on the run.

All PROE numbers below cover the season through Week 7 and only count neutral game scripts, when the game is still competitive. Season snap share covers Weeks 1-7. "Proj" is our average projected DraftKings score, and "optimal lineups" is the share of our optimal lineups that include a player. You can compare every team on the team tendencies page.

The slate at a glance

Games are listed by game total, highest first. The implied team total is each team's share of that game total based on the spread.

  • ARI at DAL, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 54.5, DAL -6.5. Implied team totals: DAL 30.5, ARI 24.
  • BAL at BUF, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 54.5, BUF -3. Implied team totals: BUF 28.75, BAL 25.75.
  • TEN at CIN, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 46.5, CIN -10. Implied team totals: CIN 28.25, TEN 18.25.
  • MIN at DET, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 46.5, DET -3. Implied team totals: DET 24.75, MIN 21.75.
  • IND at JAX, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 46.5, JAX -9.5. Implied team totals: JAX 28, IND 18.5.
  • LAC at LA, 4:05 p.m. ET: game total 45.5, LA -6.5. Implied team totals: LA 26, LAC 19.5.
  • ATL at TB, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 45.5, TB -2.5. Implied team totals: TB 24, ATL 21.5.
  • LV at NYJ, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 45.5, NYJ -1.5. Implied team totals: NYJ 23.5, LV 22.
  • NE at MIA, 4:25 p.m. ET: game total 43.5, NE -7. Implied team totals: NE 25.25, MIA 18.25.
  • KC at DEN, 4:25 p.m. ET: game total 41.5, KC -1.5. Implied team totals: KC 21.5, DEN 20.
  • CLE at PIT, 1:00 p.m. ET: game total 39.5, PIT -3.5. Implied team totals: PIT 21.5, CLE 18.

Cardinals at Cowboys

Tied for the highest game total on the slate at 54.5, and Dallas (-6.5) has the top implied team total on the slate at 30.5. Full matchup page. Dak Prescott is $6,300 with a 22.5 proj, third among quarterbacks on the slate behind Josh Allen and Joe Burrow while costing $1,400 less than Allen. On Arizona's side, Jeremiyah Love (ankle) is questionable after missing Week 7. Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love will take part in Wednesday's practice, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports. James Conner remains on injured reserve.

  • Javonte Williams shows up in 20.9% of optimal lineups, the most of any running back on the slate. He has 69% of Dallas' rushes and played 75% of snaps this season.
  • CeeDee Lamb owns a 26.9% target share and shows up in 16.9% of optimal lineups.
  • Trey McBride has played 91% of Arizona's snaps with a 22.9% target share.
  • Dallas is at +1.6% PROE and Arizona at -1.0%, so neither offense leans hard either way.

$6,300 for the quarterback with the slate's top implied team total (30.5).

Mean 22.2 · p90 33.0 · Snap 100%

In more optimal lineups than any other running back. 69% of Dallas' rushes.

Mean 18.7 · p90 30.3 · Snap 75%

26.9% target share on the team with the slate's top implied team total.

Mean 20.9 · p90 34.1 · Snap 79%

91% of snaps and a 22.9% target share for Arizona.

Mean 15.1 · p90 25.1 · Snap 91%

Ravens at Bills

The other 54.5 game total on the slate, with Buffalo favored by 3. Full matchup page. Josh Allen is the top quarterback on the slate at 23.6 proj. Both offenses lean on the run: Buffalo is at -5.1% PROE and Baltimore at -5.8%.

Lamar Jackson (ankle) is questionable after missing Week 7, but he is "believed to be close to 100 percent" and is expected to play Sunday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Baltimore's outlook depends heavily on Jackson, so check the projections board again once his status is settled. For Buffalo, DJ Moore is questionable. He missed the Bills' Week 6 game, and Buffalo was on bye in Week 7.

Top quarterback on the slate in a 54.5 game total.

Mean 21.3 · p90 32.6 · Snap 100%

Titans at Bengals

Cincinnati is a 10-point home favorite with a 28.25 implied team total. Full matchup page. The Bengals are the most pass-heavy offense on the slate at +7.5% PROE. Joe Burrow has a 22.7 proj, second among quarterbacks on the slate. Tennessee sits at -11.7% PROE, the second most run-heavy offense on the slate.

  • Mike Gesicki is $3,700 and shows up in 18.3% of optimal lineups, the most of any tight end. He has a 15.2% target share.
  • The Bengals placed tight end Erick All Jr. (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday.
  • Ja'Marr Chase owns a 23.7% target share and played 87% of snaps in Week 7.
  • For Tennessee, Calvin Ridley and Tyjae Spears are questionable. Both missed Week 7.

Runs the slate's most pass-heavy offense (+7.5% PROE) as a 10-point favorite.

Mean 23.3 · p90 34.5 · Snap 99%

23.7% target share. Played 87% of snaps in Week 7.

Mean 17.6 · p90 29.5 · Snap 80%

$3,700 and in more optimal lineups than any other tight end.

Mean 11.2 · p90 20.4 · Snap 44%

Vikings at Lions

Detroit is favored by 3 with a 24.75 implied team total. Full matchup page. Jahmyr Gibbs is the top running back on the slate at 23.3 proj. He has 73% of Detroit's rushes and played 90% of snaps in Week 7.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable with a 19.8 proj. Lions head coach Dan Campbell said St. Brown tweaked his ankle in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers but should be ready to practice Thursday, Richard Silva of The Detroit News reports. He owns a 27.9% target share.

  • Minnesota running back Aaron Jones is questionable. The knee injury that forced him out of Sunday's win over the Colts isn't considered significant, and he is viewed as day-to-day, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
  • Justin Jefferson has a 20.2% target share and played 93% of snaps in Week 7.
  • Minnesota leans run at -4.4% PROE. Detroit is near neutral at -0.7%.

Top running back on the slate. 73% of Detroit's rushes.

Mean 27.8 · p90 40.8 · Snap 79%

Questionable (ankle). 27.9% target share. Check his status before lock.

Mean 18.1 · p90 30.3 · Snap 87%

20.2% target share. Played 93% of snaps in Week 7.

Mean 10.9 · p90 20.2 · Snap 77%

Colts at Jaguars

Jacksonville is a 9.5-point favorite with a 28 implied team total, fourth-highest on the slate. Full matchup page. Parker Washington has a 13.2 proj and shows up in 11.5% of optimal lineups. He owns an 18.2% target share and has played 76% of snaps this season.

  • Indianapolis tight end Tyler Warren is questionable after missing Week 7.
  • Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce (heel) is on injured reserve. Head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce will "most likely not" have his practice window opened in Week 8, Jake Arthur of Roundtable.io reports.
  • Jonathan Taylor has 55% of the Colts' rushes and has played 80% of snaps this season.
  • Both offenses are close to neutral: Jacksonville is at -1.8% PROE and Indianapolis at -1.9%.

18.2% target share for the team with a 28 implied team total.

Mean 11.4 · p90 21.7 · Snap 76%

55% of Indianapolis' rushes and 80% of snaps this season.

Mean 15.1 · p90 24.9 · Snap 80%

Chargers at Rams

The Rams are 6.5-point favorites with a 26 implied team total. Full matchup page. Puka Nacua has the top proj on the entire slate at 28.3 and shows up in 42.1% of optimal lineups. He owns a 37.5% target share.

  • The Chargers are the most run-heavy offense on the slate at -12.2% PROE. The Rams are at +4.7%.
  • Ladd McConkey (concussion) is questionable. He was spotted in a no-contact jersey at Monday's practice, Noah Furtado of The Athletic reports. Tre' Harris is also questionable after missing Week 7.
  • Matthew Stafford has a 20.3 proj. Kyren Williams has 56% of the Rams' rushes.

Top proj on the slate and a 37.5% target share.

Mean 29.4 · p90 44.1 · Snap 84%

QBMatthew StaffordLAQUESTIONABLE

Stafford left the locker room after Sunday's 24-9 win over the Chargers with a bag of ice wrapped on his right arm, and Rams coach Sean McVay acknowledged Monday that the quarterback has been dealing with some arm soreness, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports.

Throws to the slate's top projected player as a 6.5-point favorite.

Mean 20.5 · p90 31.3 · Snap 98%

56% of the Rams' rushes.

Mean 18.0 · p90 28.6 · Snap 67%

Falcons at Buccaneers

Tampa Bay is favored by 2.5 in a 45.5 game total. Full matchup page. This is a run-first matchup on both sides: Atlanta is at -7.5% PROE and Tampa Bay at -7.2%. Bijan Robinson has an 18.3 proj and played 81% of snaps in Week 7.

  • Emeka Egbuka is questionable after missing Week 7.
  • Drake London owns a 26.3% target share and has played 89% of Atlanta's snaps this season.
  • Brian Robinson Jr. is questionable after missing Week 7.

Played 81% of snaps in Week 7 in a run-first game on both sides.

Mean 25.0 · p90 37.3 · Snap 71%

26.3% target share and 89% of snaps this season.

Mean 14.9 · p90 26.8 · Snap 89%

Raiders at Jets

A near coin flip, with the Jets favored by 1.5. Full matchup page. Kirk Cousins is $5,500 with a 17.9 proj. Tre Tucker is also $5,500 and shows up in 13.8% of optimal lineups. Tucker owns a 19.7% target share and played 82% of snaps in Week 7.

  • Brock Bowers has a 21% target share and has played 83% of snaps this season.
  • Breece Hall is questionable after missing Week 7.
  • The Raiders are at -1.6% PROE and the Jets at -2.4%.

$5,500 quarterback in a game the Jets are favored by only 1.5.

Mean 17.5 · p90 27.4 · Snap 98%

Same $5,500 price as Cousins. 19.7% target share, 82% of snaps in Week 7.

Mean 10.8 · p90 20.4 · Snap 69%

21% target share and 83% of snaps this season.

Mean 13.8 · p90 24.4 · Snap 83%

Patriots at Dolphins

New England is a 7-point road favorite with a 25.25 implied team total. Full matchup page. Drake Maye has an 18.9 proj and has played 97% of New England's snaps this season. Miami leans run at -8.6% PROE, while New England is right at neutral (-0.1%).

  • Rhamondre Stevenson has 38% of the Patriots' rushes and played 69% of snaps in Week 7.
  • Miami running back Jaylen Wright (quad) is questionable after leaving Sunday's game against the Jets and not returning.

97% of snaps this season for a 7-point favorite.

Mean 20.4 · p90 31.0 · Snap 97%

38% of New England's rushes and 69% of snaps in Week 7.

Mean 16.3 · p90 26.2 · Snap 63%

Chiefs at Broncos

Kansas City is a 1.5-point road favorite in a 41.5 game total. Full matchup page. Rashee Rice is questionable with a 14.7 proj and shows up in 13.2% of optimal lineups. He has not played since Week 3, so watch his practice reports closely. When he has played, he owns a 24.4% target share.

  • Kenneth Walker III has 48% of the Chiefs' rushes and has played 74% of snaps this season.
  • Denver's Jaylen Waddle is questionable. He aggravated a previous chest injury in last week's win over the Cardinals, and his status will depend on how he fares in practice this week, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
  • Kansas City is at +1.5% PROE and Denver at -0.3%.

Questionable and hasn't played since Week 3. 24.4% target share when active.

Mean 14.8 · p90 25.9 · Snap 62%

48% of Kansas City's rushes and 74% of snaps this season.

Mean 16.3 · p90 26.7 · Snap 74%

Browns at Steelers

The lowest game total on the slate at 39.5, with Pittsburgh favored by 3.5. Full matchup page. Pittsburgh is at +3.0% PROE, the third most pass-heavy offense on the slate, behind Cincinnati and the Rams. Jaylen Warren has a 13.5 proj and half of the Steelers' rushes.

  • DK Metcalf has played 95% of snaps this season with a 22.6% target share.
  • Cleveland is at +1.1% PROE.

Half of Pittsburgh's rushes in the slate's lowest-total game.

Mean 13.1 · p90 22.0 · Snap 74%

95% of snaps this season and a 22.6% target share.

Mean 11.8 · p90 21.4 · Snap 95%

Questionable players to track

These players are listed as questionable on DraftKings. Check back as practice reports come in through the week.

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET: tweaked his ankle in Week 7 but is expected to practice Thursday.
  • Rashee Rice, KC: has not played since Week 3.
  • Emeka Egbuka, TB: missed Week 7.
  • Breece Hall, NYJ: missed Week 7.
  • Jeremiyah Love, ARI: ankle, set to practice Wednesday.

Statuses will change between now and Sunday. The watch lists above update live, and every Week 8 number is on the projections board. For pass and run rates team by team, see team tendencies.

See every Week 8 projection, snap share and matchup in one place.

Week 8 projections

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